Property in "per capita", to a crash

China property market has now highest, never again have a higher price; China property market is far the lowest price, only lower forever. -this is the Shanghai old gu wrote with judge language conclusion. Key words in the title is "the per capita". Meaning is to point to the relationship between man and housing (emphasis on the "people" give priority to, "are" for the definition of pay); Population and housing area of the average relations (emphasized the phenomenon of average, and connotation nature). So, it is necessary to start the "people" and "all" of the topic, with amazing people of all official data, warning of all the people of China. One, life and the relationship between population. The average life expectancy of China's population of 73 years old (adopted the China medical insurance ": the" eleventh five-year plan "period, China's urban and rural residents and the health level obviously improved. Average life expectancy reached the age of 73......"). China currently has a total population of 1.3 billion,MLB Cap from 2012 (dragon) on, over 60 increase exponentially (close to the 73-year-old average year life cycle, meaning the mortality rate is will more and more than the birth rate); China's current population structure is 4:2:1, in the proportion of the "4" age of about 700 million people. So, from the dragon on, another 10 years later, the population of China will gradually from 1.3 billion population of accelerating change into the 700 million population (of nature, can't resist).Then, people didn't, LouKongLe, property prices can also more? (10 years ago in the housing market for the inevitable after 10 years, this is the demographic trends iron reason). Two, China property market and pension engineering. Recently, state media reported the large-scale "advocate family endowment", when the substantial blind persuasion. One reason, the current population structure of 4:2:1 "2", already is difficult to most of the old man was the concern and care (it belongs to the children of the filial piety, but powerless reality); Reason # 2, family endowment the cost too high: please nanny spending (about 3000 a month); The use of the housing price (not can rent price, 2000 yuan of above); Children "don't trust of value" (can't statistics but can probably small, there are often still need to present in person, time value treatment, etc with at least 2000 yuan)... The invisible cost statistics, and dominant costs statistics, in fact, much more than the old man lived in the cost of senior nursing home. And, the old man living senior nursing home food, clothing, shelter and transportation, medical, entertainment, but solid solution; And, the old man living in the old man circles in a happy mood; And, the old man live into advanced nursing home, the children can relax mood, can work with all your heart; And, the old man live advanced nursing home, the vacancy can rent or sell, can reduce their children to the old man living expenditure pressures. But why does the current energetically advocate family endowment, substantial two: 1, endowment engineering can't keep up with (at present, Shanghai pay 5000 yuan/month or more full, and the nursing home has to a few years in line); 2, such as advocate to enjoy in nursing home, so, China property market shut the empty rate will be higher, virtually increased property market collapse of Jordan farmar. (so "the new-found the meaning of" never lies in "wine", to your stereo reasoning). Three, China property market and the world market of per capita per capita relationship. Please look at the data "construction minister, points out that he that by the end of 2009, per capita building city construction area of about 30 square meters, the rural residential housing area of 33.6 square meters, more than 2005 were increased by 15% and 13%"; To see a year after data "building minister said today, our country towns hundreds per capita housing construction area of 18.7 square meters by 1998 years up to 2010 years old 31.6 square meters" (in the delta, calculated in 2010 has already been more than 34 square meters per capita).So, it is 2012 years, per capita housing area will have reached 33 square meters (long triangle must be more than 36 square meters per capita). That good, again see "developed countries per capita housing area: the square meters, Britain, Germany and 38 square meters square meters,nfl jerseys cheap France, Japan and 37 square meters square meters..." (the key of which data is: Japan's per capita 31 square meters). So, such as China and the world in per capita to statistics, at present has reached Europe's per capita living level. But, and there is a huge difference, that is, China's population structure is the world unique (population peak in ten years later, will have fault cycle), in this, according to the dynamic level to compare, even if not repeat any future housing (the 1.3 billion population in China to 700 million people to change, and the per capita already can with 72 square meters above. (so, from now on, 10 years ago in the housing market must for 10 years later bill: the per capita built more, the more serious the bill!), the per capita and empty four relationship. According to the above statistics data to measure, China's per capita housing area has reached Europe level (ten years after all can double European per capita). But according to the current situation of the eyes to see, but just contradiction is very severe.So, with the per capita data and just need the textual research results is contradiction: unoccupied houses blots out the sky. The scale of the unoccupied houses were in a small number of the population control in his hand, and the per capita data and just need data will produce great to deviate from. In such a weird period, "positive and negative" priority should be force the unoccupied houses, the minor task is making low-cost housing, security room. But, "positive and negative" but with the distorting big made security to cover room been empty unoccupied houses, of the fact is really incredible (please think about principle, such as home one hundred jins rice was "idle", the first task is to solve the "idle meters"? Or to speed up the "buy new rice"? The answer will only one, first address "idle meters"). So, don't solve XianZhiFang consequences is: will present China's per capita housing area, from 35 square meters to 40 square meters, eventually will lead to crash (not? Japan land resources of the country, with per capita only 31 square meters, but per capita income than China, results, tumbled 70%)--so, iron Richard is always iron principle: the greater the per capita data, the more likely to collapse in the housing market. China property market not to force the unoccupied houses, but also in the big made the appropriate room, low-cost housing, so, the faster made, collapse earlier!!!

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